Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the Covid 19 Coronavirus Pandemic

Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the Covid 19 Coronavirus Pandemic[PDF / Epub] ★ Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the Covid 19 Coronavirus Pandemic ✈ Gleb Tsipursky – Jobs-in-kingston.co.uk COVID has demonstrated clearly that businesses, nonprofits, individuals, and governments are terrible at dealing effectively with largescale disasters that take the form of slowmoving trainwrecks Usin COVID has demonstrated clearly that businesses, nonprofits, and Plan Epub á individuals, and governments are terrible at dealing effectively with largescale disasters that take the form of slowmoving trainwrecks Using cuttingedge research in cognitive neuroscience and behavioral economics on dangerous judgement errors Resilience: Adapt PDF \ cognitive biases, this book first explains why we respond so poorly to slowmoving, highimpact, and longterm crises Next, the book shares researchbased strategies for how organizations and individuals can adapt effectively to the new abnormal of the COVID pandemic Adapt and Plan ePUB ´ and similar disasters Finally, it shows how to develop an effective strategic plan and make the best major decisions in the context of the uncertainty and ambiguity brought about by COVID and other slowmoving largescale catastrophes Gleb Tsipursky combines researchbased strategies with reallife stories from his business and nonprofit clients as they adapt to the pandemic The Resilience Series is the result of an intensive, collaborative effort of our authors in response to thecoronavirus epidemic Each volume offers expert advice for developing the practical, emotional and spiritual skills that you can master to become resilient in a time of crisis. [I received an electronic Advance Reader’s Copy in exchange for an honest review.]

You could be excused for thinking that a book about preparing for the Corona virus pandemic is perhaps a bit out of date, but back in March you might have been excused for thinking that everything would be back to normal in two weeks. Tsipursky makes a convincing case that the COVID-19 plague will be effecting us in meaningful ways for at least five more years. And even with all the disruption it has caused so far, few of us (from what I can tell) have given much serious thought to how things will continue to be different next month, let alone next year. So a book about preparing about what is yet to come is not so ridiculous as it may at first appear.

Tsipursky offers advise for individual and families on the one hand and for companies and organizations on the other. The counsels he offers will prove to be helpful not only for the current situation, but for all the long-term crises that the future will bring. He begins with what I consider the most important subject: the maladaptive ways our minds mis-process information and cause us to do dumb things that just don't help us or anybody. He goes on to talk about specific approaches that families and companies can take to make sure that they are planning for reality, not for an optimistic misguided fantasy future.

The chapter on thought fallacies is instructive and wise. I had to stop reading and hit myself when he explained about Anchoring, which is our tendency to treat the first things we learn as of permanent truth and importance, and not notice when new information comes out. I realized how I had done that very thing with the news of the novel corona virus; several weeks after the news began I realized that my thinking on the subject was already severely out of date, as I had been quietly and unintentionally ignoring news that significantly expanded or contradicted something I had already accepted as truth.

[The realization of my own fallacious thinking made me wish there were a service that would, for example, send you an email after something important has been in the news for a while and tell you about a particular fallacy you may be committing yourself. For example, Weeks ago you heard that this disease is isolated. Have you really noticed that that is no longer true? Are you keeping up with reality or are you anchoring?]

His advise for business is not of any particular interest to me and I will not comment on it, but his suggestions for persons and families is crucial for everybody. He gives brief but important counsel about the need to prepare adequate for such human needs as safety (ignore that wimpy two weeks advise you heard at the beginning of this particular crisis), connection, and exploration. I was especially impress that he mentions the need for love, which he defines as doing good for others during a pandemic or other long-term emergency.

I am glad I read this book. It will help me prepare better for the next year of this crisis, and for whatever else my future holds. This new book from Dr. Gleb is a great read specially nowadays that a pandemic is happening in every nation. This is a very nice book to read because it talks about how to deal when a pandemic is happening. It helped me realize all the wrong decisions and wrong thing I am doing during this pandemic.

I am guilty of the cognitive bias called Hyperbolic Discounting. I have been living for a moment and not thinking much of our future. Have I read this book earlier I would have saved more or invested for our future. I realized that thinking ahead and saving money for the future and buying good health insurance for our family is very important to have. This book made me realized the importance of being ready for the future.

I also learned in this book that planning is good, but planning with thinking of potential risks and problem is much better to avoid cognitive bias known as the planning fallacy. The plan never always go our way, so from now on, I will be more careful with my decisions and plans and always think ahead. Thanks to this book, I learned a lot. I hope this book will reach a lot of people and leaders of any organization for them to read because this has been very helpful and informative. In Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic, a relatively quick read at less than 100 pages, Dr. Gleb Tsipursky addresses questions many of us have been thinking including:

* Why did ‘we’/‘they’ delay making the decisions necessary to minimize the impact of this threat?
* What can we do from here so we don’t repeat this the next time there's a crisis?
* As a business, how can we make this work to our advantage?

His concise explanation of the behavioral science -- why ‘we’ make the decisions we do when we do (spoiler alert: survival) known as cognitive biases -- followed by personal, professional, and organizational examples, bring the concepts to life and provide clear guidance on how to include them consciously in planning for the future in this “New Abnormal”.

A high-level guide, it’s also detailed enough for business owners and leaders to use as a road-map in figuring out how to survive and thrive. Additionally, it provides a sufficiently detailed framework for a facilitator to use in helping any business work through a bias-conscious planning process. In the last chapter, “8 Steps to Making the Best Major Decisions” and the accompanying case study is an excellent and relatively detailed walk-through illustrating the concepts and recommended actions, bringing them to life in a relatable, digestible way.

In the “no such thing as perfect” department, there were a few distractions; not sufficient to disregard the content but certainly enough to disrupt the read. Most concerning in our highly polarized political world, and with significant potential to alienate some (many?) readers, is the seemingly judgmental word choice made in a number of places.

Another distraction occurs in the Introduction. While many don’t read it, if you are one who does, know you will get a hearty dose of About the Author. If you need or want to validate credentials, this is good; otherwise, it feels self-congratulatory.

Finally, the plugs for his other books (publisher requested or added perhaps) and his consulting business seem excessive. Some reference makes sense but the frequency of mentions gives the impression that this book is primarily a marketing tool, which feels disingenuous.

Overall, this is a great introduction to cognitive biases, their affect, and how to put practices in place to address them. Notwithstanding the few flaws, it's more than worth its price!
This Book by Dr. Gleb Tsipursky entitled, Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Pandemic, is a rescue guideline in this period of COVID-19. A lot has happened during this period and has changed our lives and the way we live in lots of ways.

As a victim of the Normalcy Bias, I used to plan for short term, instead of long term goals. This bias leads individuals, businesses, and governments to fail to prepare nearly as well as they should for the likelihood and effects of catastrophes, especially slow-moving train wrecks such as pandemics. Moreover, amid the event itself, people react much slower than they should, ideally. We are getting stuck in the mode of gathering information instead of deciding and acting. It’s not surprising that going with our gut reactions lead us astray in response to disasters that slowly gather steam while they spread.

The actions we perceived as solving the problem are illogical and irrational. Such that buying toilet paper and guns becomes a necessity in response to COVID-19. While the normalcy bias is the most harmful cognitive bias from which we suffer in the face of this COVID-19 pandemic, it’s far from the only one. Some other cognitive biases combined with normalcy bias to lead to bad decisions about the pandemic. I am using this book's strategy to remodel my prospects towards building a better long term profiting and promising goals. I do recommend this book at these times for everyone! This book helped me accept some difficult realities about the coronavirus pandemic: first, that it is not likely to go away soon; second, that I was at risk of making some really bad decisions by underestimating the length and severity of the crisis - to the detriment of my life and professional career. The book helped me resist anchoring one on specific future - because the trajectory of the pandemic is uncertain - and instead focus on planning for a range of possibilities, updating and adapting as the future unfolds. Please read this book! It will help you through these perilous times. We are all aware by now of all the negative aspects of the current COVID-19 pandemic. With the extra downtime that isolating provides, it would benefit all of us to gain some perspective on what has happened, what is currently going on, and what the future might bring. Clearly, we were unprepared for this pandemic. It would help to understand WHY we weren’t prepared, and how we can use our experience this time around to deal with the ongoing and impending new crises effectively.

It’s one thing to understand how the human brain works, physically and psychologically. And yet another to apply that knowledge to our own thinking and behavior. Nothing teaches like direct experience, especially if we can see the application of theories to our own lives. For instance, one way to apply a theoretical understanding of cognitive bias to our daily lives is through understanding our own reactions and the reactions of others around us to overwhelming life events. Enter Covid-19.

What better time for behavioral economist and cognitive neuroscientist Dr. Glen Tsipursky to provide us with a guide to understanding our reactions and those of our leaders in the disastrous response to the Covid -19 pandemic. That he also offers us ideas and strategies to cope with what is likely to be a 2-3 year process of combatting and coping with it is a blessing in disguise. In fact, I would say, it doesn’t get more timely for a book like this!

The difficulty most of us have isn’t not understanding cognitive biases and how they operate in our lives. The greatest challenge is to recognize when our own thinking is based upon one or more of them. Because of the anxiety and fear surrounding this pandemic, we are presently more likely to be in the grip of our own cognitive biases or, at the very least, experiencing the behavior of others around us who are operating from their own. At the same time, we have a unique opportunity to begin recognizing our own faulty reasoning, and to hearing fact-based solutions that offer ways to manage our present difficulties. We are also more primed than usual to hear and acknowledge and more willing to test out possible ways to avert or prevent future pandemics from causing the massive damage that Covid-19 has caused.

Dr. Tsipursky has provided a direct, clear and easily engaged way to do this. This small volume provides a quick and easy reference for understanding the available scientific evidence about Covid-19, and makes clear the ways cognitive biases are functioning in the midst of the panic everyone is feeling. There is tremendous reassurance in having a succinct and scientific understanding of what is happening and a framework for anticipating and coping with what may be yet to come. But the true value of this excellent book is in its ability to offer individual, personal actions we can take in our own lives to evaluate what is being fed to us by the media, to identify how that information is affecting us personally and how our families and friends who are experiencing the same anxiety, fear and helplessness may be reacting to it. This type of understanding is tremendously empowering. Armed with this knowledge, we can see how our choices and our inner mental chatter can be managed so as to ensure we make good decisions and gain a measure of control over our circumstances.

I highly recommend this book to everyone. It may well provide its readers with the strongest medicine available for these difficult times. Honestly: I never heard about or read the Changemaker books or its Resilience series. But I gave this particular book a chance due to its author and because coronavirus affects all, me included. I didn’t regret the decision. Not because it saved my life - it wasn’t necessary, fortunately. But because It was a worthy read for me, for both the private person and the business leader. Let’s separate the two cases as the reasons are quite different in one and in the other.

As a citizen you may get quicker and more tailored advices and information regarding the coronavirus from some other sources. By the time this book reaches the “bookshelves” many of us have already got first-hand experience on the restrictions of movements and quarantine. Many of us had to learn the lessons in the hard way. So why is it still a useful read? Because it is good to know:
 How you can better understand and interpret the news you hear daily.
 What to expect if you live in an area not affected by the virus yet.
 How long this situation can last and what to expect in longer term, in the next months or even years.
 That you are not alone, that others have also difficulties in adapting, but all of us can learn to handle the situation better.
 How to be more realistic and better prepared next time. This is hardly the last major crisis in the history of humankind.
 How did we get into this situation and how other countries could avoid the worst.
 Why we shouldn’t trust politicians, but simply check them and make them work harder for their position and pay checks.

So for a private person this book is a small contemporary history lesson too, and only partially a practical guide (if you need that). This practical-guide-for-you part is not too extensive anyway. Upside: you can finish that part quickly, getting some ideas applicable to you.

The book’s business part is far more detailed. It is hardly a surprise:
 the author makes a living as a business consultant
 business organisations have far more complex problems than individuals
 corporates’ adaptation to this new situation and its future consequences takes longer time, so this book is not too late for most of them.

So for corporations this book is still a practical guide, as they are still in the beginning or in the middle of the adjustments. For them this book is more like an investment into creating their long term survival strategy. I would like to give my heartfelt thanks to Dr. Tsipursky to launch such a book which is mostly needed in this situation as it will help us to understand how to adapt to COVID19 effectively, whether we are a private individual focusing on our household and career, or a business, nonprofit, or municipal leader concerned with our organization. It will empower us to make an effective strategic plan to survive and thrive through the pandemic and guide us into the post-pandemic society.
Just after my first daughter’s birth in 2017 I suffered from Chikungunya which is a viral disease transmitted to humans by infected mosquitoes. I had high fever and severe joint pain. Also I had muscle pain, headache, nausea, fatigue & rash. Those effects lasts for 2 months in my body, I wasn’t in a position to take care of my child in fact I was unable to take my child in my lap. That time we were not aware of Chikungunya & taken that lightly. But now I will able to focus on COVID19 as I have such a thoughtful book about COVID 19. Definitely, whatever I lack in tackling the Corona Virus, this book help me overcome. Wish I would have this kind of book about Chikungunya by the author earlier as these insights will be applicable not only to the COVID-19 pandemic, but to all high-impact disasters, especially slow-moving ones.
In Chapter 5, the “8 Steps to Making the Best Major Decisions” I read in this book proved surprising and unexpected for me as I learned the various steps of making best major decisions. Reading this book I came to know that, the best decision makers take initiative to recognize the need for decisions before they become an emergency and don’t let gut reactions cloud their decision-making capacity. So we have to evaluate the implementation of the decision and revise as needed. I will be taking these 8 Steps forward with me.
Reading this book I came to know about the Overconfidence bias. When the COVID19 pandemic outbreaks in our country I was too panicked, thought I might not get my babies food due to heavy demand & forced my husband to buy excessive food for my babies. As a result of my overconfidence my husband had to buy those baby foods in double price. Some entrepreneurs increased the price as they saw the huge rush over the super shops. I was too confident about my judgments. I think the overconfidence bias might be vulnerable. It describes our excessive confidence about our decisions: we tend to decide too quickly, without evaluating sufficient alternative options and future possibility. So now onward I will evaluate whether there are other viable options to doing so than what I have considered so far, and whether I should replace my current solutions with these new ones. As a productivity guide to Fortune 5000 CEOs and senior VPs, I can attest to the challenges these leaders are facing during this pandemic. Not only are there extra demands on their day to day attention, but I am seeing a new level of cognitive overwhelm drastically affecting the decisions they make.

This is not a vague feeling I have. As I meet with my clients an hour a week and have insight into their projects, strategic goals, and the challenges of implementing strategy in these fast-moving times, I can personally attest to it. The decisions I have witnessed have, in retrospect, been negatively impacted by common cognitive biases that I have not seen these individuals succumb to before. I even see this happening in industries that I didn't expect to be affected by the pandemic, like multinational big pharma companies.

It is to be expected that the conative load of endless daily Zoom meetings, BOD calls, and attention hijackers lowers one's ability to think clearly, even the most logical leaders will exhibit universal behavioral shortcuts like confirmation bias and the availability heuristic. As Warren Buffet mentioned in a recent article, This is not the time for something like sunk costs to sink your business!.

This book clearly and concisely shows how to avoid letting the uncertainty and ambiguity and need for fast decision making, brought about by the pandemic, enter into a leader's rational thinking. The real-life examples make Dr. Tsipursky's word resonate. I love his 8 steps, which gives actionable advice to stop what could be irreversible consequences for a business of any size.

My only beef about the book is that the leaders that need it the most, have the least time to read and digest it. I hope the author follows up with the kinds of condensed versions of a book that I see my clients reading (or listening to) on services such as Blinkist. An audiobook on Audible will also go a long way to them having time to digest the material when they are not distracted, like during exercise or the drive home. This is important material!

I so strongly believe leaders of all companies need to read Dr. Tsipursky's book that I have personally sent several copies to their executive assistants to put in front of them during their lunch hour. The new COVID-19 emergency has caused all levels of society --- governments, businesses, families, and individuals --- to confront problems with which few people living have had practical experience. In this environment, it’s crucially important to understand what is real and what isn’t, to evaluate our priorities and goals in a rational way, and to act reasonably in response. Dr. Gleb Tsipursky, PhD, an expert in behavioral science (and, full disclosure, a friend of mine), has just published a new book, Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic, which provides much practical guidance in thinking through these issues. Like other books he’s recently published on decision-making in business and personal relationships (Never Go With Your Gut and The Blindspots Between Us), Adapt and Plan considers the coronavirus emergency from the perspective of our cognitive biases, which may lead us to misunderstand or react disadvantageously to the risks of COVID-19. These cognitive biases are patterns of thinking we’ve inherited from our ancestors which may have served them well in their simpler prehistoric environment, but often lead us astray in our more complex modern world. For example, the normalcy bias may lead us to expect that life will return to normal relatively soon, and blind us to thinking how the pandemic may structurally alter our society for some time to come. Gleb’s purpose in writing this book is to alert the general public to these fallacies in our thinking, and to develop techniques to counteract them.

A relatively quick read of about 100 pages, written in a conversational style, with many examples taken from current headlines, Adapt and Plan is a useful guide to understand how we are thinking through the multifaceted aspects of the pandemic. There are no simple answers to this crisis, and no solutions that will make all completely happy. From decision-makers in the highest levels of government and business to those of us living our anonymous daily lives, we’re all grappling with questions of how to do what seems right, and for whom. Adapt and Plan is a helpful contribution to a conversation that our society will be having for years.

Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the
    Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the researchbased strategies with reallife stories from his business and nonprofit clients as they adapt to the pandemic The Resilience Series is the result of an intensive, collaborative effort of our authors in response to thecoronavirus epidemic Each volume offers expert advice for developing the practical, emotional and spiritual skills that you can master to become resilient in a time of crisis. [I received an electronic Advance Reader’s Copy in exchange for an honest review.]

    You could be excused for thinking that a book about preparing for the Corona virus pandemic is perhaps a bit out of date, but back in March you might have been excused for thinking that everything would be back to normal in two weeks. Tsipursky makes a convincing case that the COVID-19 plague will be effecting us in meaningful ways for at least five more years. And even with all the disruption it has caused so far, few of us (from what I can tell) have given much serious thought to how things will continue to be different next month, let alone next year. So a book about preparing about what is yet to come is not so ridiculous as it may at first appear.

    Tsipursky offers advise for individual and families on the one hand and for companies and organizations on the other. The counsels he offers will prove to be helpful not only for the current situation, but for all the long-term crises that the future will bring. He begins with what I consider the most important subject: the maladaptive ways our minds mis-process information and cause us to do dumb things that just don't help us or anybody. He goes on to talk about specific approaches that families and companies can take to make sure that they are planning for reality, not for an optimistic misguided fantasy future.

    The chapter on thought fallacies is instructive and wise. I had to stop reading and hit myself when he explained about Anchoring, which is our tendency to treat the first things we learn as of permanent truth and importance, and not notice when new information comes out. I realized how I had done that very thing with the news of the novel corona virus; several weeks after the news began I realized that my thinking on the subject was already severely out of date, as I had been quietly and unintentionally ignoring news that significantly expanded or contradicted something I had already accepted as truth.

    [The realization of my own fallacious thinking made me wish there were a service that would, for example, send you an email after something important has been in the news for a while and tell you about a particular fallacy you may be committing yourself. For example, Weeks ago you heard that this disease is isolated. Have you really noticed that that is no longer true? Are you keeping up with reality or are you anchoring?]

    His advise for business is not of any particular interest to me and I will not comment on it, but his suggestions for persons and families is crucial for everybody. He gives brief but important counsel about the need to prepare adequate for such human needs as safety (ignore that wimpy two weeks advise you heard at the beginning of this particular crisis), connection, and exploration. I was especially impress that he mentions the need for love, which he defines as doing good for others during a pandemic or other long-term emergency.

    I am glad I read this book. It will help me prepare better for the next year of this crisis, and for whatever else my future holds. This new book from Dr. Gleb is a great read specially nowadays that a pandemic is happening in every nation. This is a very nice book to read because it talks about how to deal when a pandemic is happening. It helped me realize all the wrong decisions and wrong thing I am doing during this pandemic.

    I am guilty of the cognitive bias called Hyperbolic Discounting. I have been living for a moment and not thinking much of our future. Have I read this book earlier I would have saved more or invested for our future. I realized that thinking ahead and saving money for the future and buying good health insurance for our family is very important to have. This book made me realized the importance of being ready for the future.

    I also learned in this book that planning is good, but planning with thinking of potential risks and problem is much better to avoid cognitive bias known as the planning fallacy. The plan never always go our way, so from now on, I will be more careful with my decisions and plans and always think ahead. Thanks to this book, I learned a lot. I hope this book will reach a lot of people and leaders of any organization for them to read because this has been very helpful and informative. In Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic, a relatively quick read at less than 100 pages, Dr. Gleb Tsipursky addresses questions many of us have been thinking including:

    * Why did ‘we’/‘they’ delay making the decisions necessary to minimize the impact of this threat?
    * What can we do from here so we don’t repeat this the next time there's a crisis?
    * As a business, how can we make this work to our advantage?

    His concise explanation of the behavioral science -- why ‘we’ make the decisions we do when we do (spoiler alert: survival) known as cognitive biases -- followed by personal, professional, and organizational examples, bring the concepts to life and provide clear guidance on how to include them consciously in planning for the future in this “New Abnormal”.

    A high-level guide, it’s also detailed enough for business owners and leaders to use as a road-map in figuring out how to survive and thrive. Additionally, it provides a sufficiently detailed framework for a facilitator to use in helping any business work through a bias-conscious planning process. In the last chapter, “8 Steps to Making the Best Major Decisions” and the accompanying case study is an excellent and relatively detailed walk-through illustrating the concepts and recommended actions, bringing them to life in a relatable, digestible way.

    In the “no such thing as perfect” department, there were a few distractions; not sufficient to disregard the content but certainly enough to disrupt the read. Most concerning in our highly polarized political world, and with significant potential to alienate some (many?) readers, is the seemingly judgmental word choice made in a number of places.

    Another distraction occurs in the Introduction. While many don’t read it, if you are one who does, know you will get a hearty dose of About the Author. If you need or want to validate credentials, this is good; otherwise, it feels self-congratulatory.

    Finally, the plugs for his other books (publisher requested or added perhaps) and his consulting business seem excessive. Some reference makes sense but the frequency of mentions gives the impression that this book is primarily a marketing tool, which feels disingenuous.

    Overall, this is a great introduction to cognitive biases, their affect, and how to put practices in place to address them. Notwithstanding the few flaws, it's more than worth its price!
    This Book by Dr. Gleb Tsipursky entitled, Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Pandemic, is a rescue guideline in this period of COVID-19. A lot has happened during this period and has changed our lives and the way we live in lots of ways.

    As a victim of the Normalcy Bias, I used to plan for short term, instead of long term goals. This bias leads individuals, businesses, and governments to fail to prepare nearly as well as they should for the likelihood and effects of catastrophes, especially slow-moving train wrecks such as pandemics. Moreover, amid the event itself, people react much slower than they should, ideally. We are getting stuck in the mode of gathering information instead of deciding and acting. It’s not surprising that going with our gut reactions lead us astray in response to disasters that slowly gather steam while they spread.

    The actions we perceived as solving the problem are illogical and irrational. Such that buying toilet paper and guns becomes a necessity in response to COVID-19. While the normalcy bias is the most harmful cognitive bias from which we suffer in the face of this COVID-19 pandemic, it’s far from the only one. Some other cognitive biases combined with normalcy bias to lead to bad decisions about the pandemic. I am using this book's strategy to remodel my prospects towards building a better long term profiting and promising goals. I do recommend this book at these times for everyone! This book helped me accept some difficult realities about the coronavirus pandemic: first, that it is not likely to go away soon; second, that I was at risk of making some really bad decisions by underestimating the length and severity of the crisis - to the detriment of my life and professional career. The book helped me resist anchoring one on specific future - because the trajectory of the pandemic is uncertain - and instead focus on planning for a range of possibilities, updating and adapting as the future unfolds. Please read this book! It will help you through these perilous times. We are all aware by now of all the negative aspects of the current COVID-19 pandemic. With the extra downtime that isolating provides, it would benefit all of us to gain some perspective on what has happened, what is currently going on, and what the future might bring. Clearly, we were unprepared for this pandemic. It would help to understand WHY we weren’t prepared, and how we can use our experience this time around to deal with the ongoing and impending new crises effectively.

    It’s one thing to understand how the human brain works, physically and psychologically. And yet another to apply that knowledge to our own thinking and behavior. Nothing teaches like direct experience, especially if we can see the application of theories to our own lives. For instance, one way to apply a theoretical understanding of cognitive bias to our daily lives is through understanding our own reactions and the reactions of others around us to overwhelming life events. Enter Covid-19.

    What better time for behavioral economist and cognitive neuroscientist Dr. Glen Tsipursky to provide us with a guide to understanding our reactions and those of our leaders in the disastrous response to the Covid -19 pandemic. That he also offers us ideas and strategies to cope with what is likely to be a 2-3 year process of combatting and coping with it is a blessing in disguise. In fact, I would say, it doesn’t get more timely for a book like this!

    The difficulty most of us have isn’t not understanding cognitive biases and how they operate in our lives. The greatest challenge is to recognize when our own thinking is based upon one or more of them. Because of the anxiety and fear surrounding this pandemic, we are presently more likely to be in the grip of our own cognitive biases or, at the very least, experiencing the behavior of others around us who are operating from their own. At the same time, we have a unique opportunity to begin recognizing our own faulty reasoning, and to hearing fact-based solutions that offer ways to manage our present difficulties. We are also more primed than usual to hear and acknowledge and more willing to test out possible ways to avert or prevent future pandemics from causing the massive damage that Covid-19 has caused.

    Dr. Tsipursky has provided a direct, clear and easily engaged way to do this. This small volume provides a quick and easy reference for understanding the available scientific evidence about Covid-19, and makes clear the ways cognitive biases are functioning in the midst of the panic everyone is feeling. There is tremendous reassurance in having a succinct and scientific understanding of what is happening and a framework for anticipating and coping with what may be yet to come. But the true value of this excellent book is in its ability to offer individual, personal actions we can take in our own lives to evaluate what is being fed to us by the media, to identify how that information is affecting us personally and how our families and friends who are experiencing the same anxiety, fear and helplessness may be reacting to it. This type of understanding is tremendously empowering. Armed with this knowledge, we can see how our choices and our inner mental chatter can be managed so as to ensure we make good decisions and gain a measure of control over our circumstances.

    I highly recommend this book to everyone. It may well provide its readers with the strongest medicine available for these difficult times. Honestly: I never heard about or read the Changemaker books or its Resilience series. But I gave this particular book a chance due to its author and because coronavirus affects all, me included. I didn’t regret the decision. Not because it saved my life - it wasn’t necessary, fortunately. But because It was a worthy read for me, for both the private person and the business leader. Let’s separate the two cases as the reasons are quite different in one and in the other.

    As a citizen you may get quicker and more tailored advices and information regarding the coronavirus from some other sources. By the time this book reaches the “bookshelves” many of us have already got first-hand experience on the restrictions of movements and quarantine. Many of us had to learn the lessons in the hard way. So why is it still a useful read? Because it is good to know:
     How you can better understand and interpret the news you hear daily.
     What to expect if you live in an area not affected by the virus yet.
     How long this situation can last and what to expect in longer term, in the next months or even years.
     That you are not alone, that others have also difficulties in adapting, but all of us can learn to handle the situation better.
     How to be more realistic and better prepared next time. This is hardly the last major crisis in the history of humankind.
     How did we get into this situation and how other countries could avoid the worst.
     Why we shouldn’t trust politicians, but simply check them and make them work harder for their position and pay checks.

    So for a private person this book is a small contemporary history lesson too, and only partially a practical guide (if you need that). This practical-guide-for-you part is not too extensive anyway. Upside: you can finish that part quickly, getting some ideas applicable to you.

    The book’s business part is far more detailed. It is hardly a surprise:
     the author makes a living as a business consultant
     business organisations have far more complex problems than individuals
     corporates’ adaptation to this new situation and its future consequences takes longer time, so this book is not too late for most of them.

    So for corporations this book is still a practical guide, as they are still in the beginning or in the middle of the adjustments. For them this book is more like an investment into creating their long term survival strategy. I would like to give my heartfelt thanks to Dr. Tsipursky to launch such a book which is mostly needed in this situation as it will help us to understand how to adapt to COVID19 effectively, whether we are a private individual focusing on our household and career, or a business, nonprofit, or municipal leader concerned with our organization. It will empower us to make an effective strategic plan to survive and thrive through the pandemic and guide us into the post-pandemic society.
    Just after my first daughter’s birth in 2017 I suffered from Chikungunya which is a viral disease transmitted to humans by infected mosquitoes. I had high fever and severe joint pain. Also I had muscle pain, headache, nausea, fatigue & rash. Those effects lasts for 2 months in my body, I wasn’t in a position to take care of my child in fact I was unable to take my child in my lap. That time we were not aware of Chikungunya & taken that lightly. But now I will able to focus on COVID19 as I have such a thoughtful book about COVID 19. Definitely, whatever I lack in tackling the Corona Virus, this book help me overcome. Wish I would have this kind of book about Chikungunya by the author earlier as these insights will be applicable not only to the COVID-19 pandemic, but to all high-impact disasters, especially slow-moving ones.
    In Chapter 5, the “8 Steps to Making the Best Major Decisions” I read in this book proved surprising and unexpected for me as I learned the various steps of making best major decisions. Reading this book I came to know that, the best decision makers take initiative to recognize the need for decisions before they become an emergency and don’t let gut reactions cloud their decision-making capacity. So we have to evaluate the implementation of the decision and revise as needed. I will be taking these 8 Steps forward with me.
    Reading this book I came to know about the Overconfidence bias. When the COVID19 pandemic outbreaks in our country I was too panicked, thought I might not get my babies food due to heavy demand & forced my husband to buy excessive food for my babies. As a result of my overconfidence my husband had to buy those baby foods in double price. Some entrepreneurs increased the price as they saw the huge rush over the super shops. I was too confident about my judgments. I think the overconfidence bias might be vulnerable. It describes our excessive confidence about our decisions: we tend to decide too quickly, without evaluating sufficient alternative options and future possibility. So now onward I will evaluate whether there are other viable options to doing so than what I have considered so far, and whether I should replace my current solutions with these new ones. As a productivity guide to Fortune 5000 CEOs and senior VPs, I can attest to the challenges these leaders are facing during this pandemic. Not only are there extra demands on their day to day attention, but I am seeing a new level of cognitive overwhelm drastically affecting the decisions they make.

    This is not a vague feeling I have. As I meet with my clients an hour a week and have insight into their projects, strategic goals, and the challenges of implementing strategy in these fast-moving times, I can personally attest to it. The decisions I have witnessed have, in retrospect, been negatively impacted by common cognitive biases that I have not seen these individuals succumb to before. I even see this happening in industries that I didn't expect to be affected by the pandemic, like multinational big pharma companies.

    It is to be expected that the conative load of endless daily Zoom meetings, BOD calls, and attention hijackers lowers one's ability to think clearly, even the most logical leaders will exhibit universal behavioral shortcuts like confirmation bias and the availability heuristic. As Warren Buffet mentioned in a recent article, This is not the time for something like sunk costs to sink your business!.

    This book clearly and concisely shows how to avoid letting the uncertainty and ambiguity and need for fast decision making, brought about by the pandemic, enter into a leader's rational thinking. The real-life examples make Dr. Tsipursky's word resonate. I love his 8 steps, which gives actionable advice to stop what could be irreversible consequences for a business of any size.

    My only beef about the book is that the leaders that need it the most, have the least time to read and digest it. I hope the author follows up with the kinds of condensed versions of a book that I see my clients reading (or listening to) on services such as Blinkist. An audiobook on Audible will also go a long way to them having time to digest the material when they are not distracted, like during exercise or the drive home. This is important material!

    I so strongly believe leaders of all companies need to read Dr. Tsipursky's book that I have personally sent several copies to their executive assistants to put in front of them during their lunch hour. The new COVID-19 emergency has caused all levels of society --- governments, businesses, families, and individuals --- to confront problems with which few people living have had practical experience. In this environment, it’s crucially important to understand what is real and what isn’t, to evaluate our priorities and goals in a rational way, and to act reasonably in response. Dr. Gleb Tsipursky, PhD, an expert in behavioral science (and, full disclosure, a friend of mine), has just published a new book, Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Pandemic, which provides much practical guidance in thinking through these issues. Like other books he’s recently published on decision-making in business and personal relationships (Never Go With Your Gut and The Blindspots Between Us), Adapt and Plan considers the coronavirus emergency from the perspective of our cognitive biases, which may lead us to misunderstand or react disadvantageously to the risks of COVID-19. These cognitive biases are patterns of thinking we’ve inherited from our ancestors which may have served them well in their simpler prehistoric environment, but often lead us astray in our more complex modern world. For example, the normalcy bias may lead us to expect that life will return to normal relatively soon, and blind us to thinking how the pandemic may structurally alter our society for some time to come. Gleb’s purpose in writing this book is to alert the general public to these fallacies in our thinking, and to develop techniques to counteract them.

    A relatively quick read of about 100 pages, written in a conversational style, with many examples taken from current headlines, Adapt and Plan is a useful guide to understand how we are thinking through the multifaceted aspects of the pandemic. There are no simple answers to this crisis, and no solutions that will make all completely happy. From decision-makers in the highest levels of government and business to those of us living our anonymous daily lives, we’re all grappling with questions of how to do what seems right, and for whom. Adapt and Plan is a helpful contribution to a conversation that our society will be having for years. "/>
  • Paperback
  • 96 pages
  • Resilience: Adapt and Plan for the New Abnormal of the Covid 19 Coronavirus Pandemic
  • Gleb Tsipursky
  • 10 May 2018
  • 9781789046755